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Navigating market challenges; Building for future growth

Despite a challenging trading environment this year, the pig sector remains resilient, writes Shauna Jager, client executive, pigmeat and poultry at Bord Bia

The Irish pig sector experienced a mixed trading environment in 2026. Production continued to expand, reflecting the efficiency of the industry, while market returns came under pressure as increased global supplies, a saturated European market, and softer demand weighed on prices. Despite these challenges, the sector remains resilient supported by strong production fundamentals, a trusted product offering and ongoing investment in domestic and international market development.

Supply and price situation

Supply has remained one of the defining stories of 2026. Irish pig throughput continues to run ahead of previous years, reflecting strong production performance across the sector. By the end of September, more than 2.6 million pigs had been processed in Irish plants, an increase of over 110,000 head compared with the same period in 2025. This represents growth of approximately 4 per cent, highlighting the sector’s ability to maintain output despite ongoing pressures. This follows a similarly positive trend in 2025 when Irish pig slaughterings exceeded 3.3 million head, continuing a pattern of growth that has seen the sector increase production. A key driver of increased Irish pig production this year has been the continued retention of pigs for slaughter within the Republic of Ireland. Improved processing capacity and strong demand from Irish processors have supported throughput growth while helping maximise value retention within the domestic industry.
However, while production remained robust, a weaker market environment weighed on prices. After reaching historically favourable levels during previous years, pig prices, globally, have come under sustained pressure throughout 2026. Higher levels of total European production have resulted in an increasingly saturated market, placing downward pressure on prices alongside softer global demand. Current Irish pig prices as reported by the Department of Agriculture, Food and the Marine (DAFM) over the most recent five weeks are averaging €1.68/kg excluding VAT, around 12 per cent lower than the corresponding period last year. Earlier in the year, average prices stood at around €1.76/kg excluding VAT, significantly below the levels experienced during parts of 2025. Despite this decline, Ireland continues to maintain a premium over many of its European competitors. Irish pig prices have, generally, remained above the EU average throughout the year, reflecting strong processor demand, Ireland’s reputation as a trusted supplier of pigmeat and the value placed on assured standards.

International markets

International trade continues to play a critical role in shaping market conditions for Irish pigmeat. While a significant proportion of production is consumed domestically, developments in global markets have a direct influence on pig prices and producer returns in Ireland. One of the most significant changes in recent years in the export market has been the continued reduction in Chinese import demand. Following the rebuilding of China’s domestic herd after African swine fever (ASF), import requirements have fallen considerably from the exceptional levels witnessed in 2022/23. Despite this, China remains an important market, its increasing self-sufficiency in pork production has tempered import demand for primary cuts, but China continues to require significant volumes of imported fifth-quarter products, providing ongoing opportunities albeit limited so far in 2026 given softer pricing conditions. Total Irish pigmeat exports to mainland China reached €50m by the end of August this year, down €14m (22 per cent) on the corresponding period in 2025.
A number of other Asian markets provide opportunities for Irish pigmeat. In Japan, Ireland benefited particularly in early 2026 from the continued absence of Spanish pork following the country’s ASF outbreak, creating opportunities for alternative European suppliers. However, increased competition from lower-cost suppliers has since intensified, limiting some of this advantage. South Korea also presents potential for future growth, with imports of Irish pigmeat increasing in recent years and demand for imported pork remaining strong. Meanwhile, the Philippines continues to provide an important outlet for a range of cuts and fifth-quarter products, supporting the diversification of Irish pigmeat exports across the region.
Outside Asia, export performance was mixed, with non-Asian exports valued at approximately €184m in the year to August 2026. Strong growth was recorded in Africa (+19 per cent) and Canada (+553 per cent from a low base), while exports to the EU (-27 per cent), Great Britain (-25 per cent) and Oceania (-14 per cent) declined year-on-year, reflecting challenging trading conditions and increased competition across international pork markets.

Domestic market

While international markets play a vital role in maximising carcase value, the domestic market remains a significant part of the Irish pork market. Domestic retail performance for pork remained positive during 2026, supported by changing consumer purchasing habits. Elevated beef prices encouraged some shoppers to switch towards more affordable protein options, benefiting both pork and chicken. While chicken captured much of this demand pork also performed well, particularly within value-added products. Recent consumer research undertaken by Bord Bia has highlighted both the strength of the pork category and the opportunity that exists for future growth. Irish consumers continue to hold highly positive perceptions of pork and bacon, with more than 90 per cent rating pork positively for taste and expressing strong trust in Irish provenance. The challenge facing the category is not consumer perception, but everyday relevance. While consumers like and trust Irish pork, many instinctively default to chicken or beef when planning weekday meals. In response, Bord Bia has developed a growth strategy focused on increasing the frequency of pork consumption by reinforcing its versatility, convenience and suitability for modern meal occasions.
This strategy has been brought to life through the 2026 Quality Mark Pork and Bacon campaign, which targeted younger consumers aged 25-44 through television, video-on-demand, social media, YouTube, digital audio and working with influencers. The campaign highlighted the flavour, versatility and nutritional benefits of Quality Mark pork and bacon, with evaluation results indicating strong engagement, positive sentiment and encouraging purchase intent among the target audience.

Outlook

Looking ahead, market conditions are likely to remain challenging. Global demand remains uneven and international competition continues to intensify. However, there are also reasons for confidence. Irish pig production remains efficient and competitive, supported by strong consumer trust at home and a well-established reputation in international markets. While the sector faces a challenging and increasingly complex trading environment, its proven ability to adapt, combined with continued investment in innovation, promotion and market development, provides a strong foundation to navigate future challenges and support the sector’s future development.